Fabien Postel-Vinay's picture
Affiliation: 
University College London
Credentials: 
Professor of economics

Voting history

China’s growth slowdown: likely persistence and effects

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Question 1:

Do you agree that the Chinese economy is likely (say more than 50% probability) to maintain in the medium term (say, for at least ten years) a rate of annual growth exceeding 6%.

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Answer:
Disagree
Confidence level:
Confident

ECB's quantitative easing

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Question 2:

Do you agree that the structure of the ECB's QE programme makes the Eurozone more fragile and increases the risk of one country leaving the euro?

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Answer:
No opinion
Confidence level:
Not confident at all

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Question 1:

Do you agree that the design of the ECB's QE programme reduces its effectiveness? 

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Answer:
No opinion
Confidence level:
Not confident at all

Deal or no deal: The Greece standoff

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Question 3: Do you agree that implementation of the agreement will lead to an expected decrease in Greek debt repayments?

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Answer:
No opinion
Confidence level:
Not confident
Comment:
Reaching an agreement seemed to be considered a prerequisite by some of Greece's creditors before any talks about debt relief could begin. Yet many consider that Greece is in urgent need of debt relief. Who knows what will happen now on that front?

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Question 2: Do you agree that Greece would be better off defaulting right now rather than signing to the agreement under consideration?

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Answer:
Disagree
Confidence level:
Not confident
Comment:
Given the amount of uncertainty about what would follow a Greek default, and given the possible repercussions on the Eurozone, I think trying to reach an agreement is the better idea for everyone. Defaulting won't terminate the difficult relationship between Greece and the Troika.

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