Gianluca Benigno's picture
Affiliation: 
London School of Economics
Credentials: 
Associate Professor in Economics

Voting history

Are academic economists ‘in touch’ with voters and politicians?

====================================================================

Question 1: Do you agree that the economics profession needs an institutional change that promotes the ability to communicate more effectively with policy-makers and the public at large and to make clear when economists have a united view; and do you agree that we need to introduce leadership to help achieve this improvement through coordinated efforts?

====================================================================

Answer:
Neither agree nor disagree
Confidence level:
Confident
Comment:
In my opinion, in general it is difficult to have a unified view especially in the field of macroeconomics. I do believe that there is a difficulty in communicating with the public at large more than with policy-makers. introducing leadership could help but also credibility of communication matters. one important component of credibility is the extent to which various views are correct or not and this is difficult to verify ex-post.

Brexit: the potential of a financial catastrophe and long-term consequences for the UK financial sector

====================================================================

Question 3: What do you think will be the overall economic consequences of Brexit for the UK?

====================================================================

Answer:
Neutral
Confidence level:
Confident

====================================================================

Question 2: What is the probability that the UK experiences such a significant disruption to financial markets and asset prices following a vote for Brexit on 23 June?

====================================================================

Answer:
nontrivial but ≤ 10%
Confidence level:
Not confident

====================================================================

Question 1: Do you agree that there would be substantial negative long-term consequences for the UK financial sector if the UK were to leave the EU?

====================================================================

Answer:
Neither agree nor disagree
Confidence level:
Confident
Comment:
It seems to me that all depends on which model would be adopted in the post-Brexit scenario. For example if the UK were to seek to join the EEA adopting a model like Norway, the UK could continue to advantage of the passport system and would maintain existing regulation. Alternatively under a UK EU free trade agreement models the UK could regulate its own financial service sector.

The future role of (un)conventional unconventional monetary policy

====================================================================

Question 2:  Do you agree that central banks should operationalise the use of these alternative tools of unconventional monetary policy for use either in the near term, or in the future, as economic conditions warrant?

====================================================================

Answer:
Neither agree nor disagreee
Confidence level:
Not confident
Comment:
There might be a scope for expanding tools but my impression is that they might less effective as the current situation of low growth and inflation persists. For example the current Japanese experience with negative rates raises questions on its effectiveness and might suggest that alternative policy tools should be adopted (i.e. fiscal policy).

Pages