John VanReenen's picture
Affiliation: 
London School of Economics
Credentials: 
Professor of economics
Director of Centre for Economic Performance

Voting history

Effects of an embargo on Russian gas

Question 1: By how much would an immediate EU-wide import ban on Russian gas reduce German GDP growth per annum in 2022-3, in percentage points (pp), absent other policies?

Answer:
Between 3pp and 5pp
Confidence level:
Not confident

The Impact of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine on the UK Economy

Question 3: Relative to tax plans at the beginning of the year, the UK government should respond by:

Answer:
No change
Confidence level:
Confident

Question 2: Relative to the public spending plans at the beginning of the year, the UK government should respond by:

Answer:
Increasing public spending in real terms
Confidence level:
Confident

Question 1: Relative to the Bank of England’s planned trajectory for interest rates at the beginning of the year, the Bank should respond to geopolitical events by:

Answer:
Raising interest rates more slowly
Confidence level:
Confident

Surging Inflation in the UK

Question 2: Will the inflation surge of 2021 prove persistent?

Answer:
No
Confidence level:
Not confident

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