Natalie Chen's picture
Affiliation: 
University of Warwick

Voting history

Effects of an embargo on Russian gas

Question 2: By how much would an immediate EU-wide import ban on Russian gas reduce German GDP growth per annum in 2022-3, in percentage points (pp), if the government offset the costs with a well-targeted fiscal policy?

Answer:
Less than 1pp
Confidence level:
Not confident

Question 1: By how much would an immediate EU-wide import ban on Russian gas reduce German GDP growth per annum in 2022-3, in percentage points (pp), absent other policies?

Answer:
Between 1pp and 3pp
Confidence level:
Not confident

The Impact of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine on the UK Economy

Question 3: Relative to tax plans at the beginning of the year, the UK government should respond by:

Answer:
Cutting tax intake
Confidence level:
Not confident

Question 2: Relative to the public spending plans at the beginning of the year, the UK government should respond by:

Answer:
Increasing public spending in real terms
Confidence level:
Not confident

Question 1: Relative to the Bank of England’s planned trajectory for interest rates at the beginning of the year, the Bank should respond to geopolitical events by:

Answer:
Raising interest rates more slowly
Confidence level:
Not confident

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