Wendy Carlin's picture
Affiliation: 
University College London
Credentials: 
Professor of economics

Voting history

Brexit and financial market volatility

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Question 1: The value of the pound fell sharply this week. Do you agree that the public debate on Brexit can be expected to (continue to) lead to a substantially higher level of exchange rate volatility in the upcoming months?

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Answer:
Agree
Confidence level:
Not confident
Comment:
The opening of the campaign is likely to have coordinated behaviour around a (warranted) depreciation. Uncertainty about the outcome is likely to produce further volatility.

ECB's quantitative easing

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Question 2:

Do you agree that the structure of the ECB's QE programme makes the Eurozone more fragile and increases the risk of one country leaving the euro?

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Answer:
Agree
Confidence level:
Confident

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Question 1:

Do you agree that the design of the ECB's QE programme reduces its effectiveness? 

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Answer:
Agree
Confidence level:
Not confident

Deal or no deal: The Greece standoff

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Question 2: Do you agree that Greece would be better off defaulting right now rather than signing to the agreement under consideration?

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Answer:
Agree
Confidence level:
Not confident
Comment:
It is difficult to answer confidently because it is not clear how the ECB would behave under such circumstances.

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Question 1:  

Do you agree that, on balance, the implementation of the agreement as outlined in media reports will have a non-trivial negative effect on Greek GDP?

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Answer:
Agree
Confidence level:
Confident
Comment:
Agreements of the degree of harshness that seem likely, would be expected to further weaken the Greek economy and leave high levels of uncertainty.

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